I've been following football for more than twenty years - and every time before the World Cup I have the same feeling: one of the favorites is bound to screw up, and I'll try again to guess who.

2026 World Cup favorites or losers – native forecast

World Championship has begun - and along with the hype comes doubts. Not all favorites live up to expectations. Here's my subjective, but an honest look at the teams, which can severely disappoint.


🇩🇪 Germany - the main bomb is ready to explode

If this tournament gives us a major sensation, I’m afraid, it will be the Germans. “Bundestim” has shown promise for a year and consistently disappoints. Florian Wirtz had a controversial season at Liverpool, where he was seriously criticized for the first time. The group seems to be passable - Curacao, Ivory Coast, Ecuador. But it is in such “easy” groups that the biggest failures happen..

Imagine: Germany does not qualify from the group at the World Cup. Sounds crazy - but it already happened in 2018. May happen again.


England - I just don’t believe in it

England are a perpetual disappointment machine. Every time the "golden generation", every time “now for sure”, and every time - home ahead of schedule. I'm still skeptical about them. There is a class, but something in this team systematically does not work at big tournaments. England knows how to lose beautifully - and this is its whole tragedy.


🇧🇷 Brazil - Ancelotti can save, but Neymar is already overboard

football soccer background in the colors of the national flag of Brazil

This is where the most interesting intrigue lies. I thought, that the Brazilians will fail this tournament - and there are enough reasons for skepticism. The team lost several key players through injury.: Militao, Rodrigo, Estevao. And most importantly - Neymar, whom Ancelotti nevertheless took into the application, Already out due to a calf injury right before the tournament. The symbol and main hope remains at the base in New Jersey, not on the field.

Но есть одно «но» — и зовут его Карло Анчелотти. Этот человек способен одним движением брови собрать разрозненную команду и сделать невозможное. Он тренировал «Реал», «Милан», "Bavaria" - and found the key to the locker room everywhere. If anyone can pull Brazil out of the crisis, it’s him. But without Neymar, the workload on Vinicius and Raphinha increases many times over.

Is this enough?? I'm still skeptical. But Ancelotti is that factor, who can change everything.


🇮🇹 Italy - already screwed up before the start

There’s nothing even to predict here. Italy не попала на чемпионат мира третий раз подряд. Переплюнуть этот рекорд позора будет уже очень сложно. The four-time world champions lost in the play-off match to Bosnia - in a penalty shootout with the score 1:4. This is not just a failure - it is a systemic disaster.

French Le Figaro wrote “another fiasco”, The Team — «Чао, Italy». And the German Bild even called it “another shameful failure”. It seems, all agree.

Four-time champion, side, where football is a religion, and three missed World Cups in a row. Это уже не неудача — это новая традиция.


Bottom line

TeamМой вердикт
🇩🇪 ГерманияГлавная бомба. Могут не выйти из группы
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 АнглияТрадиционное разочарование на подходе
🇧🇷 БразилияБез Неймара — под вопросом. Но есть Анчелотти
🇮🇹 ИталияУже облажалась. Не приехала вообще

Конечно, футбол всегда подкидывает сюрпризы — и именно в этом его магия. Но если кто-то из этих команд действительно провалит турнир, я не удивлюсь. Особенно — если это окажутся немцы.

Возможно стоит сделать ставку не на фаворита? Прогноз на чемпионат ..

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